I liga · Friday 30 October, 20:30

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Stal Mielec: prediction and pick

Result: 0:1

The model’s pick

1X (Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki lub remis)81%(usually 69%)+12miss

Chances according to the model

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki58%
Draw23%
Stal Mielec19%

Expected goals

2.2 – 1.2

Other matches that day with a model forecast

Where the numbers come from

A statistical model (Dixon–Coles) built from the teams’ results — not opinions. “Usually” is how often the event happens in an average match; we publish a pick only from 60% and at least 12 points above “usually”.

Estimates, not sure things. We do not take bets. 18+.