Primera División, Peru · Friday 30 October, 01:30
FBC Melgar vs Comerciantes Unidos: prediction and pick
Result: 1:1
The model’s pick
FBC Melgar (gospodarze)69%(usually 44%)+25miss
Chances according to the model
- FBC Melgar69%
- Draw20%
- Comerciantes Unidos11%
Expected goals
2.3 – 0.8
Other matches that day with a model forecast
Where the numbers come from
A statistical model (Dixon–Coles) built from the teams’ results — not opinions. “Usually” is how often the event happens in an average match; we publish a pick only from 60% and at least 12 points above “usually”.
Estimates, not sure things. We do not take bets. 18+.