First League, Bulgaria · Friday 30 October, 16:00
CSKA 1948 vs Spartak Varna: prediction and pick
Result: 6:1
The model’s pick
CSKA 1948 (gospodarze)78%(usually 44%)+34hit
Chances according to the model
- CSKA 194878%
- Draw16%
- Spartak Varna6%
Expected goals
2.5 – 0.6
Other matches that day with a model forecast
Where the numbers come from
A statistical model (Dixon–Coles) built from the teams’ results — not opinions. “Usually” is how often the event happens in an average match; we publish a pick only from 60% and at least 12 points above “usually”.
Estimates, not sure things. We do not take bets. 18+.