Serie A, Brazil · Friday 30 October, 01:30
Gremio vs Atletico Paranaense: prediction and pick
Result: 2:0
The model’s pick
X2 (Atletico Paranaense lub remis)69%(usually 56%)+13miss
Chances according to the model
- Gremio31%
- Draw28%
- Atletico Paranaense41%
Expected goals
1.3 – 1.5
Other matches that day with a model forecast
Where the numbers come from
A statistical model (Dixon–Coles) built from the teams’ results — not opinions. “Usually” is how often the event happens in an average match; we publish a pick only from 60% and at least 12 points above “usually”.
Estimates, not sure things. We do not take bets. 18+.