Premier League, Belarus · Friday 30 October, 16:00
Arsenal vs Bate Borisov: prediction and pick
Result: 1:0
The model’s pick
X2 (Bate Borisov lub remis)69%(usually 56%)+13miss
Chances according to the model
- Arsenal31%
- Draw37%
- Bate Borisov33%
Expected goals
0.9 – 0.9
Other matches that day with a model forecast
Where the numbers come from
A statistical model (Dixon–Coles) built from the teams’ results — not opinions. “Usually” is how often the event happens in an average match; we publish a pick only from 60% and at least 12 points above “usually”.
Estimates, not sure things. We do not take bets. 18+.