Primeira Liga, Portugal · Friday 30 October, 21:15

Casa Pia vs Sporting CP: prediction and pick

Result: 0:2

The model’s pick

Sporting CP (goście)82%(usually 31%)+51hit

Chances according to the model

Casa Pia5%
Draw13%
Sporting CP82%

Expected goals

0.6 – 2.8

Other matches that day with a model forecast

Where the numbers come from

A statistical model (Dixon–Coles) built from the teams’ results — not opinions. “Usually” is how often the event happens in an average match; we publish a pick only from 60% and at least 12 points above “usually”.

Estimates, not sure things. We do not take bets. 18+.