Sunday 11 October, 12:15
Utrecht vs Willem II: prediction and pick
Result: 3:1
The model’s pick
Utrecht (gospodarze)77%(usually 44%)+33hit
Chances according to the model
- Utrecht77%
- Draw15%
- Willem II8%
Expected goals
2.9 – 1.0
Other matches that day with a model forecast
Where the numbers come from
A statistical model (Dixon–Coles) built from the teams’ results — not opinions. “Usually” is how often the event happens in an average match; we publish a pick only from 60% and at least 12 points above “usually”.
Estimates, not sure things. We do not take bets. 18+.