Sunday 11 October, 01:30
New York Red Bulls vs San Diego: prediction and pick
Result: 4:1
The model’s pick
X2 (San Diego lub remis)68%(usually 56%)+12miss
Chances according to the model
- New York Red Bulls32%
- Draw28%
- San Diego40%
Expected goals
1.4 – 1.5
Other matches that day with a model forecast
Where the numbers come from
A statistical model (Dixon–Coles) built from the teams’ results — not opinions. “Usually” is how often the event happens in an average match; we publish a pick only from 60% and at least 12 points above “usually”.
Estimates, not sure things. We do not take bets. 18+.