Sunday 11 October, 01:30
Philadelphia Union vs Real Salt Lake: prediction and pick
Result: 2:1
The model’s pick
Philadelphia Union (gospodarze)67%(usually 44%)+23hit
Chances according to the model
- Philadelphia Union67%
- Draw19%
- Real Salt Lake14%
Expected goals
2.5 – 1.1
Other matches that day with a model forecast
Where the numbers come from
A statistical model (Dixon–Coles) built from the teams’ results — not opinions. “Usually” is how often the event happens in an average match; we publish a pick only from 60% and at least 12 points above “usually”.
Estimates, not sure things. We do not take bets. 18+.