I liga · Sunday 11 October, 12:00

Stal Mielec vs Warta Poznań: prediction and pick

Result: 2:1

The model’s pick

Warta Poznań (goście)62%(usually 31%)+31miss

Chances according to the model

Stal Mielec20%
Draw18%
Warta Poznań62%

Expected goals

1.7 – 2.9

Other matches that day with a model forecast

Where the numbers come from

A statistical model (Dixon–Coles) built from the teams’ results — not opinions. “Usually” is how often the event happens in an average match; we publish a pick only from 60% and at least 12 points above “usually”.

Estimates, not sure things. We do not take bets. 18+.