Sunday 11 October, 13:00
Southampton vs Portsmouth: prediction and pick
Result: 1:0
The model’s pick
Southampton (gospodarze)71%(usually 44%)+27hit
Chances according to the model
- Southampton71%
- Draw18%
- Portsmouth11%
Expected goals
2.5 – 1.0
Other matches that day with a model forecast
Where the numbers come from
A statistical model (Dixon–Coles) built from the teams’ results — not opinions. “Usually” is how often the event happens in an average match; we publish a pick only from 60% and at least 12 points above “usually”.
Estimates, not sure things. We do not take bets. 18+.