Serie A · Sunday 11 October, 18:00

Sassuolo vs AC Milan: prediction and pick

Result: 1:1

The model’s pick

X2 (AC Milan lub remis)75%(usually 56%)+19hit

Chances according to the model

Sassuolo25%
Draw28%
AC Milan46%

Expected goals

1.1 – 1.5

Other matches that day with a model forecast

Where the numbers come from

A statistical model (Dixon–Coles) built from the teams’ results — not opinions. “Usually” is how often the event happens in an average match; we publish a pick only from 60% and at least 12 points above “usually”.

Estimates, not sure things. We do not take bets. 18+.