Sunday 11 October, 19:45
San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Riestra: prediction and pick
Result: 1:0
The model’s pick
X2 (Deportivo Riestra lub remis)72%(usually 56%)+16miss
Chances according to the model
- San Lorenzo28%
- Draw47%
- Deportivo Riestra25%
Expected goals
0.6 – 0.5
Other matches that day with a model forecast
Where the numbers come from
A statistical model (Dixon–Coles) built from the teams’ results — not opinions. “Usually” is how often the event happens in an average match; we publish a pick only from 60% and at least 12 points above “usually”.
Estimates, not sure things. We do not take bets. 18+.