Serie A · Thursday 29 October, 18:30

Frosinone vs Lecce: prediction and pick

Result: 5:1

Pick of the day · free

Frosinone (gospodarze)66%(usually 44%)+22hit

Chances according to the model

Frosinone66%
Draw20%
Lecce15%

Expected goals

2.5 – 1.1

Other matches that day with a model forecast

Where the numbers come from

A statistical model (Dixon–Coles) built from the teams’ results — not opinions. “Usually” is how often the event happens in an average match; we publish a pick only from 60% and at least 12 points above “usually”.

Estimates, not sure things. We do not take bets. 18+.