Primera A, Colombia · Thursday 29 October, 00:00
Once Caldas vs Alianza Valledupar: prediction and pick
Result: 1:0
The model’s pick
Once Caldas (gospodarze)61%(usually 44%)+17hit
Chances according to the model
- Once Caldas61%
- Draw25%
- Alianza Valledupar14%
Expected goals
1.8 – 0.8
Other matches that day with a model forecast
Where the numbers come from
A statistical model (Dixon–Coles) built from the teams’ results — not opinions. “Usually” is how often the event happens in an average match; we publish a pick only from 60% and at least 12 points above “usually”.
Estimates, not sure things. We do not take bets. 18+.