Major League Soccer, USA · Thursday 29 October, 00:30

Toronto FC vs DC United: prediction and pick

Result: 2:1

The model’s pick

1X (Toronto FC lub remis)81%(usually 69%)+12hit

Chances according to the model

Toronto FC56%
Draw25%
DC United19%

Expected goals

1.9 – 1.1

Other matches that day with a model forecast

Where the numbers come from

A statistical model (Dixon–Coles) built from the teams’ results — not opinions. “Usually” is how often the event happens in an average match; we publish a pick only from 60% and at least 12 points above “usually”.

Estimates, not sure things. We do not take bets. 18+.