Sunday 11 October, 22:30
Flamengo vs Fluminense: prediction and pick
Result: 1:0
The model’s pick
Flamengo (gospodarze)63%(usually 44%)+19hit
Chances according to the model
- Flamengo63%
- Draw23%
- Fluminense14%
Expected goals
2.0 – 0.9
Other matches that day with a model forecast
Where the numbers come from
A statistical model (Dixon–Coles) built from the teams’ results — not opinions. “Usually” is how often the event happens in an average match; we publish a pick only from 60% and at least 12 points above “usually”.
Estimates, not sure things. We do not take bets. 18+.