Serie A · Thursday 29 October, 20:45
Fiorentina vs Atalanta: prediction and pick
Result: 2:2
The model’s pick
X2 (Atalanta lub remis)75%(usually 56%)+19hit
Chances according to the model
- Fiorentina25%
- Draw27%
- Atalanta48%
Expected goals
1.2 – 1.7
Other matches that day with a model forecast
Where the numbers come from
A statistical model (Dixon–Coles) built from the teams’ results — not opinions. “Usually” is how often the event happens in an average match; we publish a pick only from 60% and at least 12 points above “usually”.
Estimates, not sure things. We do not take bets. 18+.