Monday 12 October, 21:15
Famalicao vs Alverca: prediction and pick
The model’s pick
1X (Famalicao lub remis)83%(usually 69%)+14
Chances according to the model
- Famalicao53%
- Draw30%
- Alverca17%
Expected goals
1.4 – 0.7
Other matches that day with a model forecast
Where the numbers come from
A statistical model (Dixon–Coles) built from the teams’ results — not opinions. “Usually” is how often the event happens in an average match; we publish a pick only from 60% and at least 12 points above “usually”.
Estimates, not sure things. We do not take bets. 18+.