Serie A · Monday 12 October, 18:30

Atalanta vs Venezia: prediction and pick

Pick of the day · free

Atalanta (gospodarze)85%(usually 44%)+41

Chances according to the model

Atalanta85%
Draw11%
Venezia4%

Expected goals

3.1 – 0.6

Other matches that day with a model forecast

Where the numbers come from

A statistical model (Dixon–Coles) built from the teams’ results — not opinions. “Usually” is how often the event happens in an average match; we publish a pick only from 60% and at least 12 points above “usually”.

Estimates, not sure things. We do not take bets. 18+.