Monday 12 October, 19:00
Aarhus vs Sonderjyske: prediction and pick
The model’s pick
1X (Aarhus lub remis)81%(usually 69%)+12
Chances according to the model
- Aarhus58%
- Draw22%
- Sonderjyske19%
Expected goals
2.2 – 1.2
Other matches that day with a model forecast
Where the numbers come from
A statistical model (Dixon–Coles) built from the teams’ results — not opinions. “Usually” is how often the event happens in an average match; we publish a pick only from 60% and at least 12 points above “usually”.
Estimates, not sure things. We do not take bets. 18+.