Premier League · Sunday 11 October, 15:00
Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest: prediction and pick
Result: 3:1
The model’s pick
X2 (Nottingham Forest lub remis)70%(usually 56%)+14miss
Chances according to the model
- Crystal Palace30%
- Draw31%
- Nottingham Forest39%
Expected goals
1.1 – 1.3
Other matches that day with a model forecast
Where the numbers come from
A statistical model (Dixon–Coles) built from the teams’ results — not opinions. “Usually” is how often the event happens in an average match; we publish a pick only from 60% and at least 12 points above “usually”.
Estimates, not sure things. We do not take bets. 18+.