Sunday 11 October, 03:00
Atlas vs Guadalajara Chivas: prediction and pick
Result: 1:1
The model’s pick
X2 (Guadalajara Chivas lub remis)74%(usually 56%)+18hit
Chances according to the model
- Atlas26%
- Draw28%
- Guadalajara Chivas47%
Expected goals
1.2 – 1.6
Other matches that day with a model forecast
Where the numbers come from
A statistical model (Dixon–Coles) built from the teams’ results — not opinions. “Usually” is how often the event happens in an average match; we publish a pick only from 60% and at least 12 points above “usually”.
Estimates, not sure things. We do not take bets. 18+.