Premier League · Saturday 10 October, 16:00

Sunderland vs Brighton: prediction and pick

Result: 0:2

The model’s pick

X2 (Brighton lub remis)77%(usually 56%)+21hit

Chances according to the model

Sunderland23%
Draw26%
Brighton51%

Expected goals

1.1 – 1.8

Other matches that day with a model forecast

Where the numbers come from

A statistical model (Dixon–Coles) built from the teams’ results — not opinions. “Usually” is how often the event happens in an average match; we publish a pick only from 60% and at least 12 points above “usually”.

Estimates, not sure things. We do not take bets. 18+.