La Liga · Saturday 10 October, 21:00
Real Madrid vs Villarreal: prediction and pick
Result: 1:0
The model’s pick
Real Madrid (gospodarze)68%(usually 44%)+24hit
Chances according to the model
- Real Madrid68%
- Draw19%
- Villarreal14%
Expected goals
2.6 – 1.2
Other matches that day with a model forecast
Where the numbers come from
A statistical model (Dixon–Coles) built from the teams’ results — not opinions. “Usually” is how often the event happens in an average match; we publish a pick only from 60% and at least 12 points above “usually”.
Estimates, not sure things. We do not take bets. 18+.