Friday 9 October, 19:45
Moreirense vs GIL Vicente: prediction and pick
Result: 0:1
The model’s pick
X2 (GIL Vicente lub remis)72%(usually 56%)+16hit
Chances according to the model
- Moreirense28%
- Draw32%
- GIL Vicente40%
Expected goals
1.0 – 1.2
Other matches that day with a model forecast
Where the numbers come from
A statistical model (Dixon–Coles) built from the teams’ results — not opinions. “Usually” is how often the event happens in an average match; we publish a pick only from 60% and at least 12 points above “usually”.
Estimates, not sure things. We do not take bets. 18+.