Friday 9 October, 02:30
Fluminense vs Coritiba: prediction and pick
Result: 4:0
The model’s pick
Fluminense (gospodarze)65%(usually 44%)+21hit
Chances according to the model
- Fluminense65%
- Draw21%
- Coritiba14%
Expected goals
2.3 – 1.0
Other matches that day with a model forecast
Where the numbers come from
A statistical model (Dixon–Coles) built from the teams’ results — not opinions. “Usually” is how often the event happens in an average match; we publish a pick only from 60% and at least 12 points above “usually”.
Estimates, not sure things. We do not take bets. 18+.