Serie A · Wednesday 28 October, 20:45

Monza vs Napoli: prediction and pick

Result: 1:4

Pick of the day · free

X2 (Napoli lub remis)78%(usually 56%)+22hit

Chances according to the model

Monza22%
Draw20%
Napoli58%

Expected goals

1.6 – 2.6

Other matches that day with a model forecast

Where the numbers come from

A statistical model (Dixon–Coles) built from the teams’ results — not opinions. “Usually” is how often the event happens in an average match; we publish a pick only from 60% and at least 12 points above “usually”.

Estimates, not sure things. We do not take bets. 18+.