DFB Pokal, Germany · Wednesday 28 October, 18:00

SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg: prediction and pick

Result: 3:2

The model’s pick

SC Freiburg (gospodarze)65%(usually 44%)+21hit

Chances according to the model

SC Freiburg65%
Draw20%
VfL Wolfsburg15%

Expected goals

2.4 – 1.1

Other matches that day with a model forecast

Where the numbers come from

A statistical model (Dixon–Coles) built from the teams’ results — not opinions. “Usually” is how often the event happens in an average match; we publish a pick only from 60% and at least 12 points above “usually”.

Estimates, not sure things. We do not take bets. 18+.