Premier League · Saturday 10 October, 18:30

Manchester United vs Tottenham: prediction and pick

Result: 1:1

The model’s pick

Manchester United (gospodarze)67%(usually 44%)+23miss

Chances according to the model

Manchester United67%
Draw21%
Tottenham12%

Expected goals

2.2 – 0.9

Other matches that day with a model forecast

Where the numbers come from

A statistical model (Dixon–Coles) built from the teams’ results — not opinions. “Usually” is how often the event happens in an average match; we publish a pick only from 60% and at least 12 points above “usually”.

Estimates, not sure things. We do not take bets. 18+.