Ligue 1 · Saturday 10 October, 17:15
Lille vs Le Havre: prediction and pick
Result: 1:0
The model’s pick
1X (Lille lub remis)87%(usually 69%)+18hit
Chances according to the model
- Lille57%
- Draw30%
- Le Havre13%
Expected goals
1.5 – 0.6
Other matches that day with a model forecast
Where the numbers come from
A statistical model (Dixon–Coles) built from the teams’ results — not opinions. “Usually” is how often the event happens in an average match; we publish a pick only from 60% and at least 12 points above “usually”.
Estimates, not sure things. We do not take bets. 18+.