Saturday 10 October, 16:30

GO Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam: prediction and pick

Result: 3:3

The model’s pick

GO Ahead Eagles (gospodarze)60%(usually 44%)+16miss

Chances according to the model

GO Ahead Eagles60%
Draw22%
Sparta Rotterdam18%

Expected goals

2.3 – 1.2

Other matches that day with a model forecast

Where the numbers come from

A statistical model (Dixon–Coles) built from the teams’ results — not opinions. “Usually” is how often the event happens in an average match; we publish a pick only from 60% and at least 12 points above “usually”.

Estimates, not sure things. We do not take bets. 18+.