Bundesliga · Saturday 10 October, 15:30
FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen: prediction and pick
Result: 3:4
The model’s pick
X2 (Bayer Leverkusen lub remis)68%(usually 56%)+12hit
Chances according to the model
- FSV Mainz 0532%
- Draw26%
- Bayer Leverkusen42%
Expected goals
1.5 – 1.7
Other matches that day with a model forecast
Where the numbers come from
A statistical model (Dixon–Coles) built from the teams’ results — not opinions. “Usually” is how often the event happens in an average match; we publish a pick only from 60% and at least 12 points above “usually”.
Estimates, not sure things. We do not take bets. 18+.