Saturday 10 October, 18:00
FC Zurich vs FC Thun: prediction and pick
Result: 4:2
The model’s pick
X2 (FC Thun lub remis)75%(usually 56%)+19miss
Chances according to the model
- FC Zurich25%
- Draw23%
- FC Thun52%
Expected goals
1.4 – 2.1
Other matches that day with a model forecast
Where the numbers come from
A statistical model (Dixon–Coles) built from the teams’ results — not opinions. “Usually” is how often the event happens in an average match; we publish a pick only from 60% and at least 12 points above “usually”.
Estimates, not sure things. We do not take bets. 18+.