Liga Narodów · Tuesday 6 October, 20:45
Croatia vs Spain: prediction and pick
Result: 1:2
The model’s pick
Spain (goście)75%(usually 31%)+44hit
Chances according to the model
- Croatia9%
- Draw16%
- Spain75%
Expected goals
0.8 – 2.6
Other matches that day with a model forecast
Where the numbers come from
A statistical model (Dixon–Coles) built from the teams’ results — not opinions. “Usually” is how often the event happens in an average match; we publish a pick only from 60% and at least 12 points above “usually”.
Estimates, not sure things. We do not take bets. 18+.