Liga Narodów · Tuesday 6 October, 20:45
Belarus vs Finland: prediction and pick
Result: 1:0
The model’s pick
X2 (Finland lub remis)72%(usually 56%)+16miss
Chances according to the model
- Belarus28%
- Draw30%
- Finland41%
Expected goals
1.1 – 1.4
Other matches that day with a model forecast
Where the numbers come from
A statistical model (Dixon–Coles) built from the teams’ results — not opinions. “Usually” is how often the event happens in an average match; we publish a pick only from 60% and at least 12 points above “usually”.
Estimates, not sure things. We do not take bets. 18+.