Saturday 10 October, 16:30
Casa Pia vs Santa Clara: prediction and pick
Result: 0:1
The model’s pick
X2 (Santa Clara lub remis)87%(usually 56%)+31hit
Chances according to the model
- Casa Pia13%
- Draw29%
- Santa Clara58%
Expected goals
0.6 – 1.5
Other matches that day with a model forecast
Where the numbers come from
A statistical model (Dixon–Coles) built from the teams’ results — not opinions. “Usually” is how often the event happens in an average match; we publish a pick only from 60% and at least 12 points above “usually”.
Estimates, not sure things. We do not take bets. 18+.