Bundesliga · Friday 9 October, 20:30

Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen: prediction and pick

Result: 2:2

Pick of the day · free

Borussia Dortmund (gospodarze)78%(usually 44%)+34miss

Chances according to the model

Borussia Dortmund78%
Draw16%
Werder Bremen6%

Expected goals

2.5 – 0.6

Other matches that day with a model forecast

Where the numbers come from

A statistical model (Dixon–Coles) built from the teams’ results — not opinions. “Usually” is how often the event happens in an average match; we publish a pick only from 60% and at least 12 points above “usually”.

Estimates, not sure things. We do not take bets. 18+.