Serie A · Monday 2 November, 20:45
Atalanta vs Parma: prediction and pick
Result: 0:3
The model’s pick
1X (Atalanta lub remis)86%(usually 69%)+17miss
Chances according to the model
- Atalanta58%
- Draw28%
- Parma14%
Expected goals
1.6 – 0.6
Other matches that day with a model forecast
Where the numbers come from
A statistical model (Dixon–Coles) built from the teams’ results — not opinions. “Usually” is how often the event happens in an average match; we publish a pick only from 60% and at least 12 points above “usually”.
Estimates, not sure things. We do not take bets. 18+.