Primera A, Colombia · Monday 2 November, 00:10
Independiente Medellin vs Alianza Valledupar: prediction and pick
Result: 2:1
The model’s pick
Independiente Medellin (gospodarze)64%(usually 44%)+20hit
Chances according to the model
- Independiente Medellin64%
- Draw23%
- Alianza Valledupar13%
Expected goals
2.1 – 0.8
Other matches that day with a model forecast
Where the numbers come from
A statistical model (Dixon–Coles) built from the teams’ results — not opinions. “Usually” is how often the event happens in an average match; we publish a pick only from 60% and at least 12 points above “usually”.
Estimates, not sure things. We do not take bets. 18+.