Premier League, Russia · Saturday 31 October, 17:45
Rodina Moskva vs FC Krasnodar: prediction and pick
Result: 2:1
The model’s pick
FC Krasnodar (goście)75%(usually 31%)+44miss
Chances according to the model
- Rodina Moskva10%
- Draw16%
- FC Krasnodar75%
Expected goals
1.0 – 2.8
Other matches that day with a model forecast
Where the numbers come from
A statistical model (Dixon–Coles) built from the teams’ results — not opinions. “Usually” is how often the event happens in an average match; we publish a pick only from 60% and at least 12 points above “usually”.
Estimates, not sure things. We do not take bets. 18+.