League One, England · Saturday 31 October, 16:00

Peterborough vs Luton: prediction and pick

Result: 0:2

The model’s pick

X2 (Luton lub remis)73%(usually 56%)+17hit

Chances according to the model

Peterborough27%
Draw25%
Luton48%

Expected goals

1.4 – 1.9

Other matches that day with a model forecast

Where the numbers come from

A statistical model (Dixon–Coles) built from the teams’ results — not opinions. “Usually” is how often the event happens in an average match; we publish a pick only from 60% and at least 12 points above “usually”.

Estimates, not sure things. We do not take bets. 18+.