Championship, England · Saturday 31 October, 13:30

Norwich vs Watford: prediction and pick

Result: 3:2

The model’s pick

Norwich (gospodarze)61%(usually 44%)+17hit

Chances according to the model

Norwich61%
Draw24%
Watford15%

Expected goals

2.0 – 0.9

Other matches that day with a model forecast

Where the numbers come from

A statistical model (Dixon–Coles) built from the teams’ results — not opinions. “Usually” is how often the event happens in an average match; we publish a pick only from 60% and at least 12 points above “usually”.

Estimates, not sure things. We do not take bets. 18+.