Primeira Liga, Portugal · Sunday 1 November, 19:00
Maritimo vs Santa Clara: prediction and pick
Result: 0:2
The model’s pick
X2 (Santa Clara lub remis)83%(usually 56%)+27hit
Chances according to the model
- Maritimo17%
- Draw27%
- Santa Clara56%
Expected goals
0.9 – 1.7
Other matches that day with a model forecast
Where the numbers come from
A statistical model (Dixon–Coles) built from the teams’ results — not opinions. “Usually” is how often the event happens in an average match; we publish a pick only from 60% and at least 12 points above “usually”.
Estimates, not sure things. We do not take bets. 18+.