Premier League · Sunday 1 November, 17:30
Liverpool vs Arsenal: prediction and pick
Result: 0:1
The model’s pick
X2 (Arsenal lub remis)77%(usually 56%)+21hit
Chances according to the model
- Liverpool23%
- Draw31%
- Arsenal46%
Expected goals
0.9 – 1.3
Other matches that day with a model forecast
Where the numbers come from
A statistical model (Dixon–Coles) built from the teams’ results — not opinions. “Usually” is how often the event happens in an average match; we publish a pick only from 60% and at least 12 points above “usually”.
Estimates, not sure things. We do not take bets. 18+.