Serie A · Sunday 1 November, 18:00
Lecce vs Genoa: prediction and pick
Result: 1:2
The model’s pick
X2 (Genoa lub remis)74%(usually 56%)+18hit
Chances according to the model
- Lecce26%
- Draw33%
- Genoa40%
Expected goals
0.9 – 1.2
Other matches that day with a model forecast
Where the numbers come from
A statistical model (Dixon–Coles) built from the teams’ results — not opinions. “Usually” is how often the event happens in an average match; we publish a pick only from 60% and at least 12 points above “usually”.
Estimates, not sure things. We do not take bets. 18+.