Serie A · Sunday 1 November, 15:00
Lazio vs Cagliari: prediction and pick
Result: 2:1
The model’s pick
1X (Lazio lub remis)86%(usually 69%)+17hit
Chances according to the model
- Lazio60%
- Draw26%
- Cagliari14%
Expected goals
1.8 – 0.7
Other matches that day with a model forecast
Where the numbers come from
A statistical model (Dixon–Coles) built from the teams’ results — not opinions. “Usually” is how often the event happens in an average match; we publish a pick only from 60% and at least 12 points above “usually”.
Estimates, not sure things. We do not take bets. 18+.