Allsvenskan, Sweden · Sunday 1 November, 16:30

IF Elfsborg vs Orgryte IS: prediction and pick

Result: 2:1

The model’s pick

IF Elfsborg (gospodarze)64%(usually 44%)+20hit

Chances according to the model

IF Elfsborg64%
Draw21%
Orgryte IS15%

Expected goals

2.3 – 1.0

Other matches that day with a model forecast

Where the numbers come from

A statistical model (Dixon–Coles) built from the teams’ results — not opinions. “Usually” is how often the event happens in an average match; we publish a pick only from 60% and at least 12 points above “usually”.

Estimates, not sure things. We do not take bets. 18+.