Eredivisie, Netherlands · Sunday 1 November, 16:45
Groningen vs Sparta Rotterdam: prediction and pick
Result: 2:3
The model’s pick
Groningen (gospodarze)62%(usually 44%)+18miss
Chances according to the model
- Groningen62%
- Draw20%
- Sparta Rotterdam18%
Expected goals
2.5 – 1.3
Other matches that day with a model forecast
Where the numbers come from
A statistical model (Dixon–Coles) built from the teams’ results — not opinions. “Usually” is how often the event happens in an average match; we publish a pick only from 60% and at least 12 points above “usually”.
Estimates, not sure things. We do not take bets. 18+.