Ligue 1 · Saturday 31 October, 20:45
Estac Troyes vs Le Mans: prediction and pick
Result: 2:0
The model’s pick
X2 (Le Mans lub remis)82%(usually 56%)+26miss
Chances according to the model
- Estac Troyes18%
- Draw28%
- Le Mans54%
Expected goals
0.9 – 1.6
Other matches that day with a model forecast
Where the numbers come from
A statistical model (Dixon–Coles) built from the teams’ results — not opinions. “Usually” is how often the event happens in an average match; we publish a pick only from 60% and at least 12 points above “usually”.
Estimates, not sure things. We do not take bets. 18+.